02 May

Miami has ‘the one’ in Cam Ward, Florida State defense will key title run

true coast-coast competition with the league welcoming Cal, Stanford and SMU into the fold for a record 17-team membership. Conference realignment remained a steady storyline throughout spring practice as those three not only prepared for the move but the league itself engaged in legal battles with two of its flagship football programs: Florida State and Clemson. While judges, lawyers, the league office and other figures in suits focus on the murky details of contracts, our focus is on the players in pads as we dive into what we learned during spring practice.

Any reaction to spring games or spring practice reports could be technically identified as an overreaction since we are not privileged to the information gathered from most of the 15 formal practice sessions held during the spring period. But since college football is a year-round enterprise, we have questions heading into spring practice and takeaways once the spring games are in the books. Some of our overreactions are big-picture focused, while others are more of the personnel, depth chart variety, but all of them are tied to some of the burning questions for each ACC program.

Boston College
We might have a QB competition on our hands: Incumbent starter Thomas Castellanos was one of the big reasons for some of Boston College’s successes in 2023, seizing the QB1 duties midway through the season opener from Emmett Morehead and then proceeding to lead the team in rushing yards (1,113) and rushing touchdowns (13). The passing game was far from flawless as he totaled 15 touchdowns to 14 interceptions, which is why when first-year coach Bill O’Brien took over, he, like many new coaches, wanted to see some competition for the starting job. Enter Grayson James from FIU, a 6-3, 235-pounder with a strong arm and good accuracy. The spring game is where we saw this overreaction rise to the top as James appeared to have closed the gap with a solid performance in the controlled situations that included a quick whistle for the quarterback. While O’Brien is likely glad to have a couple of options and healthy competition, I’m guessing this overreaction is exactly that. While James might have closed the gap in practices, it’s hard to simulate what Castellanos can do with his feet in live action.

Cal
Veteran-led team can help Cal be most successful new addition: To try and peer in on Cal’s spring showcase was far more informative for the 2025 Bears or analysis of the team’s depth, as many of the contributors we expect to be playing key roles for 2024 were held out of action. But to hear Justin Wilcox discuss the state of the roster actually offers encouragement for where this team is at heading into their first year of ACC play. Wilcox is comfortable with the snaps that have been banked not just for long-time Bears such as First Team All-Pac-12 running back Jadyn Ott (22 starts in the last two seasons) but also key transfers who have built up experience at other places. That group of veterans, Wilcox says, has done a great job of establishing the chemistry for a team that has gotten faster and a bit bigger through the roster turnover of the offseason. Cal’s 16 transfer portal commits are the second-most in the ACC, and the class ranking is fifth in the conference. If we’re to take Wilcox at his word, those newcomers have meshed well with the established veterans and given the 2024 Bears a great foundation for the first year of ACC play.

Clemson
Bryant Wesco will be a spark plug for Clemson’s passing attack: In 10 seasons of Clemson football from 2011-2020, the Tigers had a 1,000-yard receiver in all but two seasons (2015, 2017). It was a truly remarkable run that included future pros Sammy Watkins, DeAndre Hopkins, Mike Williams and Tee Higgins among others. But in the last three years (2021-23), no Clemson receiver has finished with more than 604 yards in a season and none from those teams have been selected in the NFL Draft. The tide seems to be turning, however, and one reason to believe that was the spring performance of early enrollee freshman Bryant Wesco. The blue-chip projections for Wesco are already playing out on the field as both coaches and teammates have been offering offering positive reviews all spring, and he even showed out with a diving over-the-shoulder touchdown grab in the spring game. Wesco specifically might not be the top candidate to be a 1,000-yard receiver for Clemson in 2024 — Antonio Williams, Tyler Brown, Troy Stellato have an experience edge for playing time — but his tools and talent are reminiscent of the days when Clemson had future NFL Draft picks at the position rolling in year-after-year.

Syndication: The Greenville News
Freshman WR Bryant Wesco will be a major player in the Clemson offense during the 2024 season. USATSI
Duke
Maalik Murphy hasn’t clinched starting QB job … yet: When Duke landed former Texas quarterback Maalik Murphy in the transfer portal, it was a huge win for first-year coach Manny Diaz and a statement that the program was ready to invest in building on the success of Mike Elko rather than allowing a return to previous form. But Murphy, by his own admission, exited the spring game with some more work to do and thus the battle rolls on into likely the start of fall camp. Grayson Loftis, the third-string quarterback in 2023 who was tasked with finishing the year after injuries to both Riley Leonard and Henry Belin, split first-team reps with Murphy in the spring game, appearing comfortable and capable in the new system. Offensive coordinator Jonathan Brewer comes from Rhett Lashlee’s staff at SMU and was on Diaz’s staff at Miami when Lashlee was offensive coordinator. If we are to draw conclusions from those stops and the limited spring action available, the quarterback can be very productive in this offense. Murphy’s arm talent and physical tools give him an on-paper edge to be that productive quarterback in 2024, but there’s work left to be done before we discuss his — and Duke’s — ceiling for Year 1 of the Diaz era.

Florida State
Pat Payton, Marvin Jones Jr. will be the best pass rushing tandem in the ACC: It looks like Mike Norvell, the portal king, did it again. First it was Jermaine Johnson arriving from Georgia to win ACC Defensive Player of the Year, then it was Jared Verse from Albany developing into a two-time All-American and first-round NFL Draft pick. This time Norvell went back to Athens, Georgia, to bring on Marvin Jones Jr., and through spring practice it appears as though the son of one of Florida State’s greatest linebackers will be a star on the 2024 defense. Opposite Jones is Patrick Payton, the team’s leader in tackles for loss (14.5) last season and a dynamic physical presence on the edge with his 6-5, 254-pound frame. Payton uses his size to be disruptive all over the field, and his 10 pass breakups in 2023 were the most for an ACC defensive lineman since 2016. This one-two punch of next-level athleticism, which will key this FSU defense, is going to make passing downs a nightmare for opposing quarterbacks.

Georgia Tech
Yellow Jackets could have top-three passing attack in the ACC: Haynes King’s first year in Atlanta had mixed results. If we watch cutups of his games against Louisville, Ole Miss, Bowling Green and North Carolina — 15 touchdowns, four interceptions in those games combined with a 313.8 passing yards per game average — and nothing else, you might enter 2024 with King penciled in as the first team preseason pick for All-ACC quarterback. But the full body of work included performances where he was far less consistent throughout the game, and that’s why he finished the season leading the ACC in both touchdowns (27) and interceptions (16). Finding some more consistency could unlock the best of Georgia Tech’s offense, which returns a strong run game and three of the top four receivers in Eric Singleton, Christian Leary and Malik Rutherford.

Georgia v Georgia Tech
Haynes King and the Georgia Tech offense are ready to take the next step after a solid 2023 campaign. Getty Images
Louisville
Transfer portal vault can power yet another run at an ACC title: Jeff Brohm flipped Louisville’s roster in Year 1, bringing in 25 players from the transfer portal and getting important pieces from the previous roster to buy in on his vision for Louisville football. The results exceeded the expectations as the Cardinals won 10 games, finished as the runner-up in the ACC and ranked in the top 20 of the final AP Top 25 poll. The portal evaluations and fit graded out extremely well, which is why Brohm deserves the benefit of the doubt as he’s set to do it again in 2024. Louisville is currently on pace to have a 29-player transfer class heading into the fall with many of those additions taking part in spring practice. Former Oregon and Texas Tech quarterback Tyler Shough is healthy and looks ready to lead the offense, and he’ll be protected by key additions up front such as Pete Nygra and Jonathan Mendoza among others. Some of last year’s transfers are also still on board, giving some continuity in the midst of apparent roster chaos. There are still questions on the depth chart that need to be answered, and some of that will come with the summer arrivals of additional transfers, but the new faces in spring checked enough boxes to think there won’t be a huge drop-off from last season’s impressive debut.

Miami
Cam Ward is set up to be “the one”: For two decades, Miami fans have yearned to be back in the mix and competing for the top spots in college football’s hierarchy. Since joining the ACC prior to the 2004 season, the Hurricanes have finished in the final AP Top 25 just six times and never finished higher than 11th (2004). The program has also gone 3-12 in bowl games as an ACC member, which contributes to the narrative of a championship contender that’s lost its way. The high-water mark of the last 20 years was Miami’s 2017 run that included 10 wins and an ACC Coastal title, but even that season lacked what any college football fan desires: dominant quarterback play. Miami fans have been waiting for “the one,” riding the ups and downs of Jacory Harris, Stephen Morris and Brad Kaaya in the early part of the 2010s, and then recently flirting with greatness thanks to the playmaking and production of D’Eriq King and Tyler Van Dyke. Cam Ward, arriving after two strong seasons at Washington State, can be the quarterback that leads Miami to an ACC title as he’s stepping into an offense with a strong line up front and gifted playmakers at wide receiver. Ward’s chances to be successful only increased with the recent addition of All-Pac-12 running back Damien Martinez from Oregon State, and with the motivation of turning down the NFL Draft, Ward can boost his stock with a big year in 2024.

North Carolina
Biggest portal wins may have been players who stayed home: There has been a lot of transfer portal activity in Chapel Hill, North Carolina, with the most recent headline being a return for quarterback Jacolby Criswell after the former Tar Heels spent 2023 at Arkansas. The Tar Heels also brought over quarterback Max Johnson and tight end Jake Johnson from Texas A&M along with some key offensive line pieces to rework the depth up front. The team also lost nearly two dozen players to the portal including eight that landed at other power conference programs. But one thing we have seen recently is how the biggest portal headlines can sometimes be tied to roster retention, and that’s been one of the biggest developments this spring. Days after the North Carolina spring game, the Heels4Life NIL collective announced new deals with running back Omarion Hampton and defensive end Kaimon Rucker, arguably the two best players on the 2024 roster. This is a group that will need some special players as they move on from Drake Maye and try to install a brand new defense under new defensive coordinator Geoff Collins. It’s a reset year that’s going to lead to a lot of coin-flip games in the ACC, and having difference-makers like Hampton and Rucker will be important for key plays in coin-flip games.

Campbell v North Carolina
Running back Omarion Hampton will prove to be a key piece of this Tar Heels offense in 2024. Getty Images
NC State
Grayson McCall ready to recapture his best Coastal Carolina form: From 2020-22, Grayson McCall was among the top quarterbacks in the entire country. McCall went 29-4 as a starter across those three seasons, totaling 77 touchdowns to just nine interceptions. In 2021, he set a new NCAA record for passer rating in a season. Injuries and a coaching change contributed to different results in 2023, but now fully healthy, McCall is looking to find his best form again with NC State in 2024. In Raleigh, he’s linked up with offensive coordinator Robert Anae, whose reputation for versatility was needed last season during a quarterback shuffle that included active starter MJ Morris declaring a redshirt year in the middle of the campaign. Now, McCall’s versatility, as well as a skill position group that’s been boosted by the transfer portal but remains headlined by 2023 ACC Rookie of the Year KC Concepcion, allow for Anae to craft an offense that can highlight everyone’s strengths. This is an all-in year for NC State to make a run at the elusive ACC championship, and McCall has all the tools to help lead the way in that pursuit.

Pitt
The portal has made it a lot tougher for Pitt’s potential bounce-back season: The first eight years of the Pat Narduzzi era highlighted a program that had become one of the most steady in the ACC. The Panthers were bowling in six of those eight seasons, played for the ACC championship twice — winning the league in 2021. The two-year exodus of talent and coaching turnover hinted at a possible step back from back-to-back top-25 finishes, but no one expected a drop like what we saw with the 3-9 campaign in 2023. Law of averages says a bounce back should be in store for a head coach and program that’s 65-50 overall and 43-31 in ACC play since 2015, but the law of averages doesn’t know about the chaos caused by transfer portal roulette. Not all of the 19 outgoing transfers are players who were expected to play a key role for Pitt in 2024. But multiple projected starters on the defense are in that group when you combine it with nine NFL Draft picks taken in the last two years and additional coaching staff turnover it becomes tougher to find the obvious signs for a return to the 7-8 win standard established over the last decade. The player development at Pitt has been among the best in the ACC, so I’m not going to rule out some surprises when the team takes the field in 2024, but the margins appear to be awfully slim in part because of key portal exits.

SMU
Defensive line upgrades will be a strength: SMU won the AAC on the way out of town, and quarterback Preston Stone is back after a leading a prolific offensive attack. But as we project the impact of SMU’s transition, the biggest headline from the spring is not what we knew previously but what we saw with Rhett Lashlee’s roster upgrades on the defensive side of the ball. Moving from the AAC to the ACC is a step up for SMU, and one thing that the Mustangs made sure they have ready for the jump into a power conference is some power conference-caliber bodies along the defensive line. That includes Anthony Booker Jr. (6-4, 351 pounds) from Arkansas, Mike Lockhart (6-3, 308 pounds) from West Virginia and Jonathan Jefferson (6-3, 295 pounds) from Georgia. Not all set to be stars or even starters, but they’re all expected to be part of the rotation and key pieces of making sure SMU’s defense is not just on par with the rest of the ACC but a plus-value position group for the Mustangs.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: NOV 25 Navy at SMU
Preston Stone is back to lead a prolific SMU offensive attack into the program’s ACC era. Getty Images
Stanford
Ashton Daniels passed the test and is ready for the ACC: Second-year coach Troy Taylor made a splash in the 2024 cycle when he landed four-star quarterback Elijah Brown out of California high school power house Mater Dei. The 6-2, 205-pound Brown has an NFL Draft projection and is expected to be a power conference starter eventually, but this spring his primary role was to be stiff competition for incumbent starter Ashton Daniels. The performance across 10 starters last season was up-and-down for Daniels, who has not won the job outright but appears to be the favorite to start the year as QB1. A step forward for Daniels in the midst of competition is great news for a Stanford offense that boasts one of the top wide receiver talents in the ACC with Elic Ayomanor leading a wide receiver room that also includes Tiger Bachmeier and Emmett Mosley, an early enrollee freshman who impressed in spring practice.

Syracuse
The Orange will have one of the top offenses in the ACC: Fran Brown has done great work in the transfer portal building out a roster that will have Syracuse competitive in every ACC game this year. The headline was getting Kyle McCord from Ohio State, but there’s a lot more to like about this offense. First and foremost, versatile tight end-wide receiver hybrid Oronde Gadsden is fully healthy, and his connection with McCord was on full display this spring. There were also great reviews for the performances of Seed Haynes, a transfer from Georgia who was named the offensive MVP of the spring. And with Umari Hatcher and Trevor Pena, the passing attack should be much improved from where it was a year ago. But for all the McCord and pass-game related hype, the team’s MVP in the fall might be LeQuint Allen. After becoming a 1,000-yard rusher last year, there is no expectation of Allen slowing down. Whether the run setting up the pass or vice versa, there is a lot to like about Syracuse’s balance and ceiling on offense.

Virginia
Don’t expect a drop off at the wide receiver position: The Miami Dolphins should be excited with what they are getting from Malik Washington, a First Team All-ACC wide receiver who set a single-season conference record with 110 receptions and a school record with 1,426 receiving yards. No one at the FBS level had more 100-yard receiving games (10) than Washington, so it’s natural to assume that the group will take a step back following his departure. That does not seem to be the case, however. While a quarterback battle between Tony Muskett and Anthony Colandrea waged throughout spring practice, the biggest positive was realizing the wide receivers are ready to keep up the production in Washington’s absence. Malachi Fields is a known entity after being second on the team in receptions (58), receiving yards (811) and touchdowns (5) last season, and there’s a big step forward for junior JR Wilson, who was one of the shining stars of the spring game. Andre Green, a transfer from North Carolina, also stood out this spring. The passing game should be strong again in 2024.

NCAA Football: Virginia at Miami
Malachi Fields will get the chance to step up in 2024 amid the departure of Malik Washington to the NFL. USATSI
Virginia Tech
Year 3 will be yet another step forward for the Brent Pry era: Healthy program building sometimes requires steadiness, and that’s definitely the case in Blacksburg, Virginia, where the early transfer portal era really hurt the development and depth at Virginia Tech. The roster Pry took over heading into 2022 was in bad shape, and the on-field results showed with a 3-8 overall record and just one ACC win. The Alexandria, Virginia, native reestablished Virginia Tech’s presence on the recruiting trail with high schoolers but also tapped the transfer portal, and with strong evaluation, the Hokies hit on enough portal additions to see a jump from 3-8 in 2022 to 7-6 in 2023 with a four-win increase in ACC play. Now, as we prepare for 2024, the Hokies are one of the most intriguing teams in the conference. They’ve got the quarterback set with Kyron Drones, they’ve got an active and aggressive defense that makes its presence known and a good roster blend of transfer portal additions and younger players from Pry’s first recruiting classes. It’s been a while since you’ve been able to say Virginia Tech has all those things in line, but the Hokies have their house in order and are ready to make some noise in the ACC this fall.

Wake Forest
It’s time for the Hank Bachmeier bounce back: This will be the sixth college football season for Hank Bachmeier, and after a strong spring, it’s setting up to be a return to form for the quarterback who first arrived as a breakout freshman starter for Boise State in 2019. From 2019-21, he was the guy for the Broncos but lost his job in 2022 and transferred to Louisiana Tech for what was a less-than-successful 2023 campaign. He arrived in Winton-Salem, North Carolina, needing to beat out the competition for the QB1 duties, but circumstances set Bachmeier up to finish the spring looking like the answer at quarterback. Michael Kern injured his finger early in spring practice when it crashed into a defender’s helmet and limited his activity, allowing Bachmeier to settle in with the first-string offense. Wake Forest should see its offense return to form, particularly at the wide receiver position. If you’re looking for the next dynamic wideout to help Bachmeier’s bounce-back efforts, watch for him and Horatio Fields to be a difficult duo to stop this fall.

02 May

Deion Sanders, Colorado facing another roster overhaul after losing 61% of 2023 class

High-end fashion tends to change by the season, so perhaps that’s what happened these last few months at Colorado. Last year’s Louis Vuitton? Old news. Twenty-three of Deion Sanders’ 2023 additions left the program this spring, while the Buffaloes have added six players (and counting) to what is already a 34-player transfer class.

That group of departures includes starters like left tackle Savion Washington. It includes key contributors like wide receiver Tar’Varish Dawson. It even includes banner signees from Sanders’ 2023 class like running back Dylan Edwards or cornerback Cormani McClain.

The Buffaloes have seen 24 players enter the transfer portal since it opened April 16. Of those 26, all but 10 of them arrived previously at Colorado as a transfer. One of them, four-star tight end Chamon Metayer, arrived in January.

That’s starters and depth just walking out the door. Let’s take a deeper dive into the transfer numbers:

Colorado signed 72 new scholarship players in the 2023 class (high school and transfers), with 61% of them no longer on the roster.
Thirty-five of the team’s 51 transfer additions from the 2023 cycle are no longer on the roster with 21 of them (43.1%) entering the portal either during the winter or this spring.
Ten members of Colorado’s 21-player 2023 high school class (47.6%) have already entered the portal.
It’s worth mentioning again that Colorado is replacing its entire offensive line.
A year ago, when Sanders led a roster overhaul unlike anything we’ve ever seen in college football — only 10 scholarship players returned from Colorado’s 2022 roster to 2023 — it seemed like a bold, yet reasoned, move, especially considering Colorado’s incoming transfer class ranked No. 1 nationally.

Not only could Sanders remake his team on the fly with experienced pieces, but those players were also locked in over the long haul under former NCAA rules that barred underclassmen from transferring more than once without sitting out a year in residence.

That calculus changed in December, when the NCAA lost a court case in West Virginia in which the judge issued a 14-day temporary restraining order against the NCAA that prevented it from enforcing its multi-time transfer rule. A few weeks later, the NCAA issued a memo telling schools it had paused its multi-time transfer rules for the rest of the 2023-24 academic calendar year, which opened the doors for all former transfers to do so again. Colorado’s players took advantage.

The Buffaloes aren’t the only school impacted by this, of course. Iowa felt it when it briefly added Kadyn Proctor from Alabama, only for him to reenter the transfer portal two months later. Louisville has seen two high-profile recent transfers, running back Peny Boone and defensive end Tyler Baron, hit the portal already. Louisville’s outgoing transfer count hit 30 by May 1, the date college football’s spring portal window closed. But nobody’s been impacted more than Colorado, where more than 50% of the scholarship roster was made up of transfers.

Could you argue that Colorado wanted to get rid of some of the player it’s losing? Definitely. Sanders, like many college coaches, isn’t shy about cutting players, as detailed recently in an excellent story by The Athletic. Even a starter like Washington was the subject of much criticism this year as the Buffaloes’ o-line came under fire. And some of these outgoing players have allowed the Buffaloes to sign a new wave of transfers this cycle, including seven four-star transfers.

“There have been a few guys that have left the program that Colorado would like to have on its roster in 2024,” said Adam Munsterteiger, publisher of 247Sports’ BuffStampede.com. “However, a lot of the guys that left were not going to be starters. It is tough to keep depth around in the portal era. You’ve got this revolving door with depth pieces. The big picture still looks very promising for Colorado. There’s been an overreaction when guys hit the portal at the beginning of every portal window. Were they better off from a total talent at the end of each window? The answer is yes every time.”

Five former Buffaloes have signed with Power Four teams this offseason. Three others will play at Oregon State, an independent in 2024. Many others will stay on the powere-conference level. Many, too, will drop down a peg.

Did former highly ranked recruits like Myles Slusher and Demouy Kennedy emerge as starters? No. But they stepped in during some key moments and could have been contributors in 2024. That type of natural progression — from talented reserve to contributor — defines the patient roster approach to which most programs subscribe. Instead, the Buffaloes will be introducing 40-plus new scholarship players once again.

It’s no surprise that two consecutive years of churn have led to a strange cultural brew. An unfortunate consequence of The Athletic’s exposé was one of its interviewed subjects, former safety Xavier Smith, coming under fire from star quarterback Shedeur Sanders. Smith was a Colorado signee in 2022 under the Karl Dorell regime who missed that season with an injury. He transferred out of Colorado during the spring of 2023, played a year at Austin Peay and is now at UTEP.

“Ion even remember him tbh. Bro had to be very mid at best,” Shedeur Sanders wrote, reposting a pull-quote graphic from The Athletic detailing Smith’s comments on Colorado.

Scotty Walden, who coached Smith at Austin Peay and will do so again at UTEP, defended Smith on X.

“He is the furthest thing from soft. He is a great kid/player and led us to a conference title,” Walden tweeted. “He answered a question honestly in an interview and was just telling his side. He was a freshman (All-American) and has an extremely bright future on and off the field. I am glad he is on my team — check the tape.”

Perhaps the NCAA’s rule change ends up being a positive for Colorado, allowing Sanders a second chance at a grand reset for a team coming off a 4-8 campaign that was fun for a month but ultimately disappointing. Unquestionably, new additions like running back Dallan Hayden and defensive lineman Rayyan Buell make the Buffaloes better. Early win totals for Colorado are at 4.5 at some sportsbooks, and of course it will be a different type of road in the new-look Big 12: Less elite competition weekly, but arguably better depth.

But those additions didn’t have to be mutually exclusive with keeping talent on the roster. Mostly, it feels like last year’s designer clothing that would have remained in rotation is able to just walk out the door and find a new home.

A roster churn unlike anything we’ve ever seen in college football continues.

02 May

Marcus Outzen dies: Ex-Florida State QB started first BCS National Championship Game under Bobby Bowden

Former Florida State quarterback Marcus Outzen, who started for the Seminoles in the first-ever BCS Championship Game, has died. Outzen’s death was shared on social media by his son, Colton, and later confirmed by the Tallahassee Democrat. According to the Democrat, Outzen died from complications associated with hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis, a rare immune deficiency disorder.

A native of Fort Walton Beach, Florida, Outzen — affectionately known by the nickname “Rooster” — spent five seasons in the Seminoles program under legendary coach Bobby Bowden from 1996-2000. He was famously pressed into action during the final weeks of the 1998 season after starter Chris Weinke suffered a neck injury, even as the Seminoles battled for a national title spot.

Outzen started the final two games of the regular season, both of which carried great significance. With Outzen at the helm, the Seminoles beat Wake Forest 24-7 before closing the regular season with a 23-12 victory over rival Florida.

The Gators were ranked No. 4 at the time, and the victory helped propel the No. 5 Seminoles up the rankings. Because of that win and other results around the country, the ‘Noles found their way to No. 2 in the BCS rankings and a date against No. 1 Tennessee in the Fiesta Bowl with the national championship at stake.

We are saddened to hear of the passing of Marcus Outzen last night. Our thoughts and prayers are with his family and all that he impacted. RIP Rooster. pic.twitter.com/XFfzlzeYwI

— Tallahassee QB Club (@TQB_Club) May 1, 2024
The Volunteers won the game 23-16 in the third and final start of Outzen’s career. Though Weinke returned to hold the starting job for the next two seasons, Outzen remained in the program as the backup and graduated in 2000 with a business communications degree. Outzen worked for Guardian Health in the Tampa Bay Area, according to his LinkedIn profile.

27 Mar

2024 NCAA Tournament picks, March Madness bets by proven model

The No. 3 seed Creighton Bluejays and the No. 14 seed Akron Zips battle in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament on Thursday. The Zips have won three straight en route to a 62-61 win over Kent State to secure the MAC Championship. Meanwhile, Creighton was upset in the quarterfinals of the Big East Tournament. On March 14, Providence beat the Bluejays 78-73.

Tipoff from the PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh is set for 1:30 p.m. ET. The Bluejays are 12-point favorites in the latest Akron vs. Creighton odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 142.5. Before making any Creighton vs. Akron picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 148-106 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 29-19 (+810) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Creighton vs. Akron. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Akron vs. Creighton:

Creighton vs. Akron spread: Bluejays -12
Creighton vs. Akron over/under: 142.5 points
Creighton vs. Akron money line: Bluejays -794, Zips +535
AKR: Akron has hit the team total Under in 12 of its last 19 games
CREI: Creighton has hit the team total Over in 19 of its last 35 games
Creighton vs. Akron picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Creighton can cover
Senior guard Baylor Scheierman is a smooth scorer who owns a reliable perimeter shot and has the range for step-back jumpers. The Nebraska native averages a team-high 18.4 points with nine rebounds and four assists per game. On March 2, Scheierman tallied 26 points and 16 rebounds.

Senior center Ryan Kalkbrenner is a lengthy and effective player in the paint. Kalkbrenner has a soft touch around the rim and in the mid-range area. He logged 17.1 points and 7.4 rebounds per game, while knocking down 65% of his shots from the field. In the loss to Providence, Kalkbrenner stuffed the stat sheet with 19 points, 12 rebounds and five blocks. See which team to pick at SportsLine.

Why Akron can cover
Senior forward Enrique Freeman is an explosive playmaker in the frontcourt. Freeman soars high for easy dunks and piles up rebounds. The Ohio native leads the team in points (18.6), rebounds (12.9) and blocks (1.8) per game. On March 15 against Ohio, Freeman finished with 24 points, 21 boards and seven blocks.

Senior guard Ali Ali is an additional scoring threat. Ali owns the speed and finesse to get around the basket consistently. He is putting up 15.6 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. Ali racked up 18 points, five rebounds and five assists in his last outing. He’s scored at least 17 points in three of the last six games. See which team to pick at SportsLine.

How to make Akron vs. Creighton picks
The model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 138 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 70% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

27 Mar

2024 NCAA Tournament picks, March Madness bets by model

Teams with vastly different postseason histories clash when the 15th-seeded Long Beach State Beach take on the second-seeded Arizona Wildcats in a 2024 NCAA Tournament West Region first-round matchup on Thursday. Long Beach State (21-14), who won the Big West Conference Tournament championship, will be making its 10th appearance in the event, but first since 2012. The Wildcats (25-8), who won the Pac-12 regular-season title, are making their 38th NCAA Tournament appearance and ninth since 2013. The Wildcats are 58-36 all-time in the NCAA Tournament, while Long Beach State is 7-10. Arizona leads the all-time series 8-0, and has won each game by 15 points or more.

Tip-off from the Delta Center in Salt Lake City is set for 2 p.m. ET. The Wildcats are 20-point favorites in the latest Long Beach State vs. Arizona odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 163.5. Before making any Arizona vs. Long Beach State picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024 NCAA Tournament on a 148-106 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 29-19 (+810) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Long Beach State vs. Arizona and just locked in its picks and March Madness predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Arizona vs. Long Beach State:

Long Beach State vs. Arizona spread: Arizona -20
Long Beach State vs. Arizona over/under: 163.5 points
Long Beach State vs. Arizona money line: Long Beach State +1270, Arizona -2620
LBSU: The Beach have hit the money line in 18 of their last 30 games (+11.00 units)
ARIZ: The Wildcats have covered the spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 units)
Long Beach State vs. Arizona picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Arizona can cover
The Wildcats have four players averaging double-digit scoring, led by senior guard Caleb Love. In his first season at Arizona after spending three years at North Carolina, he has scored 10 or more points 30 times, and 20 or more 14 times, including a season-high 36 in an 87-78 win over Oregon on Jan. 27. In 33 games, all starts, he is averaging 18.1 points, 4.7 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 1.1 steals in 32 minutes.

Also helping power Arizona is senior center Oumar Ballo. In 33 games, all starts, he is averaging 13.1 points, 10.1 rebounds and 1.2 blocks in 25.9 minutes. He has 18 double-doubles on the year, including two in the Pac-12 Tournament. He scored 14 points and grabbed 12 rebounds in a 67-59 semifinal loss to Oregon on Friday. He had 10 points and 13 boards in a 70-49 win over USC in the Pac-12 quarterfinals. See which team to pick here.

Why Long Beach State can cover
The Beach have been on a roll this past week, sweeping through the Big West Tournament. Senior guard Marcus Tsohonis is a big reason why as he poured in 25 points, added four assists, three rebounds and two steals in the 74-70 win over UC Davis in Saturday’s title game. He had 15 points in the 83-79 win over UC Irvine in the semifinals and had 19 before fouling out in the 86-67 quarterfinal victory over UC Riverside. In 30 games, including 26 starts, he is averaging 17.8 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.9 assists and 1.3 steals in 29.1 minutes.

Junior guard Jadon Jones enters the NCAA Tournament as Long Beach State’s second-leading scorer at 12.2 points per game. In 33 games, including 28 starts, Jones also averages 3.3 rebounds, 1.8 steals, 1.7 assists and one block in 30.2 minutes. He is connecting on 42.3% of his field goals, including 37.9% from 3-point range and 84.9% at the foul line. See which team to pick here.

How to make Arizona vs. Long Beach State picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting 157 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.

27 Mar

2024 NCAA Tournament picks by proven model

A first-round matchup in the 2024 NCAA Tournament has the No. 9 seed Michigan State Spartans and the No. 8 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs squaring off on Thursday. The Bulldogs have made the tournament 12 times in school history. On the other side, Michigan State has made the tournament 26 years in a row.

Tipoff from the Spectrum Center in Charlotte is set for 12:15 p.m. ET. The Spartans are 1-point favorites in the latest Michigan State vs. Mississippi State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 130.5. Before making any Mississippi State vs. Michigan State picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 148-106 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 29-19 (+810) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Michigan State vs. Mississippi State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Mississippi State vs. Michigan State:

Michigan State vs. Mississippi State spread: Spartans -1
Michigan State vs. Mississippi State over/under: 130.5 points
Michigan State vs. Mississippi State money line: Spartans -121, Bulldogs +100
MSU: Michigan State has hit the team total Under in 21 of their last 35 games
MSST: Mississippi State has hit the 1H game total Under in 18 of their last 30 games
Michigan State vs. Mississippi State picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Michigan State can cover
Senior forward Malik Hall is an all-around player for the Spartans. Hall scores by attacking the basket while putting a lot of energy into defense and rebounding. The Illinois native averages 12.6 points and 5.6 rebounds per game. In his last matchup, Hall racked up 12 points, seven rebounds, and two steals.

Senior A.J. Hoggard is an aggressive and energetic guard in the backcourt. Hoggard excels at driving to the basket and plays feisty defense. The Pennsylvania native averages 11 points, three rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game. On Mar. 14 against Minnesota, Hoggard finished with 17 points and six assists. See which team to pick at SportsLine.

Why Mississippi State can cover
Freshman guard Josh Hubbard is a creative shot creator with a nice shooting touch on multiple spots on the court. The Mississippi native is putting up a team-best 17.1 points, 2.1 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. He’s scored 20-plus points in seven of his last eight games. In the second round of the SEC Tournament, Hubbard totaled 24 points and two assists.

Senior forward Tolu Smith provides the Bulldogs with a force in the frontcourt. Smith scores from the low post with ease and uses his size to create space for rebounds. The Mississippi native logs 15.2 points, 8.4 rebounds and shoots 56% from the field. In his last outing, Smith had 10 points and 10 rebounds. See which team to pick at SportsLine.

How to make Mississippi State vs. Michigan State picks
The model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 138 points. It also says one side of the spread nearly 60% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

27 Mar

2024 NCAA Tournament picks, best bets by proven model

The sixth-seeded BYU Cougars will look to reach the second round for the first time in 10 years when they battle the 11th-seeded Duquesne Dukes in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament on Thursday. The Cougars (23-10), who have won four of their past six games, are making their 31st NCAA Tournament appearance and first since 2021. The Dukes (24-11), who have won eight consecutive games, last played in the NCAA Tournament in 1977. Duquesne holds a 2-0 all-time series lead, but the teams last met in 1953.

Tipoff from the CHI Health Center in Omaha, Neb., is set for 12:40 p.m. ET. The Cougars are 9.5-point favorites in the latest Duquesne vs. BYU odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 141.5. Before making any BYU vs. Duquesne picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 148-106 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 29-19 (+810) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Duquesne vs. BYU. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for BYU vs. Duquesne:

Duquesne vs. BYU spread: BYU -9.5
Duquesne vs. BYU over/under: 141.5 points
Duquesne vs. BYU money line: Duquesne +353, BYU -460
DUQ: The Dukes are 18-16 against the spread this season
BYU: The Cougars are 6-4 ATS over the past 10 games
Duquesne vs. BYU picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why BYU can cover
Four players average double-digit scoring, including junior guard Trevin Knell. In 32 games, including 27 starts, he is averaging 10.9 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 24.5 minutes. He has reached double-figure scoring 18 times, including a season-high 27 points in a 71-60 loss to Cincinnati on Jan. 6. He scored 20 points in an 87-75 win over TCU on March 2.

Also providing offense for BYU is senior guard Spencer Johnson. He has started all 33 games for the Cougars and is averaging 10.3 points, six rebounds, 3.3 assists and one steal. He has scored 10 or more points in 18 games, including three double-doubles. He scored a season-high 28 points, while adding nine rebounds and five assists in an 87-72 win over Iowa State on Jan. 16. See which team to pick at SportsLine.

Why Duquesne can cover
The Dukes have been led by senior guard Dae Dae Grant. The fifth-year player in his second season at Duquesne, has played in 32 games, including 30 starts, and is averaging 16.7 points, 3.4 rebounds, 2.5 assists and one steal in 32.8 minutes. He has reached double-digit scoring in each of the last four games, including a 27-point performance in a 70-60 win over St. Bonaventure in the Atlantic 10 semifinals. In the league’s title game, he scored 10 points and added four steals and two assists. He is connecting on 93.9% of his free throws.

Senior guard Jimmy Clark also provides some scoring punch for Duquesne. He has scored in double figures in four of the past five games, including 20 or more in two of those. In a 67-65 win over George Washington on March 9, he scored 22 points, while adding three assists and two rebounds. He had 20 points, four assists and four rebounds in an 83-73 win over Saint Louis on March 13 in the second round of the A-10 Tournament. In 35 games, all starts, he is averaging 15.1 points, 3.8 assists, 3.4 rebounds and 2.4 steals in 31.1 minutes. See which team to pick at SportsLine.

How to make Duquesne vs. BYU picks
The model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 147 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

27 Mar

Surprising bracket upset picks, games, best advice, strategy, predictions

The NCAA Basketball Tournament 2024 already has four teams that have advanced as Colorado, Colorado State, Howard, Wagner and Grambling earned trips to the first round by winning in Dayton. Three 2024 First Four teams have gone to at least the Sweet 16 in the past decade, so those teams should all be in consideration for your 2024 NCAA bracket upset picks. 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket locks at 12:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, so time is running out to make your 2024 March Madness predictions for all the games.

What strategy should you use to differentiate your 2024 March Madness bracket picks? Only three seeds lower than No. 4 have ever won it all, but with parity increasing recently in the NCAA Tournament, perhaps this is a year to take a swing on a huge Cinderella. Before making any predictions for games in the 2024 NCAA Tournament, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s projection model has simulated every game in the tournament 10,000 times. It has absolutely crushed its March Madness picks recently, beating over 92% of all CBS Sports brackets in three of the past five tournaments. In an upset-laden 2023 NCAA Tournament, the model was all over UConn’s shocking Final Four run as a 4-seed. It went an amazing 23-9 in the first round, including an astounding 12-4 in the Midwest and West regions.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 20 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds since its inception in 2016.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire 2024 NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament bracket upset picks
One Midwest Region surprise the model has identified: No. 5 Gonzaga advances to the Sweet 16, getting past a dangerous underdog in McNeese in the first round and then knocking off No. 4 Kansas in the second round. The latest 2024 NCAA Tournament odds imply that Gonzaga has a less than 50% chance of advancing this far. SportsLine’s model, however, has the Bulldogs rolling by 16 points in the first round. They are then the projected model favorites against a banged-up Kansas team in the second round.

Mark Few’s team wasn’t as dominant this regular season, failing to win at least one of the WCC regular season or tournament championships for the first time since 2011-12. That has made some bracket players fade the Bulldogs, but the model sees them as a value pick that can give you an edge in 2024 March Madness bracket.

Another surprise from the Midwest Region: No. 3 Creighton runs the table in the region, getting past No. 2 Tennessee and No. 1 Purdue as the Bluejays punch their ticket to the Final Four in Phoenix. The Bluejays are playing in a region that features elite teams who lack recent NCAA Tournament success, as Purdue has not made the Final Four since 1980 and Tennessee has never made it.

Meanwhile, Creighton has won a game in the past three tournaments, including a Sweet 16 trip in 2021 and an Elite Eight run last year. The Bluejays have four seniors, one junior and one sophomore in their key six-man rotation, and all of them have prior tournament experience. KenPom ranks them as the eighth-most experienced lineup in college basketball, which is one reason why they can get past the Boilermakers and Vols in the Midwest Region. See which other 2024 March Madness upsets to target here.

How to make 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions
SportsLine’s model is also predicting a stunning 4-seed that will reach the Final Four and has one region where the 1- and 3-seeds go down hard before the Elite Eight. With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it’s calling this year before locking in any 2024 NCAA bracket picks.

27 Mar

Top bracket busters, March Madness Cinderella picks by proven college basketball model

Will No. 12 McNeese be the March Madness Cinderella story coming out of the 2024 NCAA Tournament? The Cowboys topped the Southland Conference thanks to an 11-game winning streak and enter March Madness 2024 following a 30-3 season and conference tournament victory. McNeese got those wins by outscoring its opponents, averaging 80.5 points per game. They are still the underdogs against No. 8 Gonzaga in the Round of 64 in the 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket, but their recent form sets McNeese up to be one of the potential 2024 March Madness bracket busters.

There are several exciting underdogs to consider when putting together your 2024 March Madness bracket strategy, including No. 16 Stetson against reigning tournament champion No. 1 UConn in the East Region. Before making any 2024 NCAA Tournament predictions, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has nailed 20 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds since its inception in 2016 and nailed UConn’s dramatic Final Four run as a 4-seed last year. It went an amazing 22-10 in the first round, including an astounding 12-4 in the Midwest and West regions.

Last year, SportsLine’s computer simulation nailed massive upsets, including huge wins by No. 13 Furman over No. 4 Virginia and No. 10 Penn State over No. 7 Texas A&M. The model has beaten over 92% of all CBS Sports bracket players in three of the past five tournaments.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire 2024 NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2024 March Madness bracket upset picks
One Midwest Region surprise the model has identified: No. 11 Oregon knocks off No. 6 South Carolina. You can throw the season statistics out of the window for Oregon since it played almost half of the year without its best player, N’Faly Dante. The Ducks are a different squad with him anchoring both ends of the court, as he leads the team in points (16.2), rebounds (8.8), steals (1.7) and blocks (1.9). He led Oregon to the Pac-12 tournament championship, while South Carolina is coming off a 31-point drubbing at the hands of Auburn in the SEC Tournament.

That was the latest example of South Carolina simply not showing up, and that’s happened far too often for Lamont Paris’ liking. South Carolina has losses of 27 points, 31 points and 40 points since the start of the new year. That’s a poor omen against an improved Oregon defense that has kept four straight opponents under 69 points, each failing to shoot 45% from the field.

Another surprise from the Midwest Region: No. 3 Creighton advances all the way to the Final Four, surpassing No. 2 seed Tennessee and top-seeded Purdue. A No. 3 seed hasn’t made it to the Final Four since Texas Tech in 2019, but Greg McDermott’s Bluejays are entering the NCAA Tournament 2024 strong. They ended the regular season 23-9 and notched key wins along the way, including a 89-75 victory against Marquette and a 85-66 rout against reigning March Madness champion UConn.

The last time the Vols made it to the Elite Eight was 2010, and they haven’t made it out of the first round in two of their last seven trips to The Big Dance. Meanwhile, the Boilermakers have been booted in the first round twice in recent history, including in 2023 when they were a No. 1 seed. See which other 2024 March Madness upsets to target here.

How to make 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions
SportsLine’s model is also predicting a stunning No. 12 seed that will reach the Sweet Sixteen and has one region where three double-digit underdogs pull off first-round shockers, busting brackets everywhere. With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it’s calling this year before locking in any 2024 NCAA bracket picks.